Disinfo: A civil war in the US is imminent

Summary

The south-west of the United States of America is increasingly moving away from the rest of the country according to two important criteria on the basis of which the United States is split into irreconcilable camps, which are the criterion of race, and the division between traditional capitalism and socialism, which are rifts that grow every year.

Each of these two factors separately is a sufficient cause for a civil war.

Disproof

A recurrent pro-Kremlin narrative about an imminent collapse or civil war in the United States.

This message has been intensified in the context of the recent racial justice protests in the US and the 2020 Presidential elections.

Despite high polarisation in the country, the unrest is not a civil war.

Predictions about a US civil war or state collapse in the US have been a common pro-Kremlin narrative since the fall of the Soviet Union. One of the most popular theories was devised by Igor Panarin - a former Soviet KGB and Russian intelligence officer, a political science professor and author of influential studies on information warfare - who declared in 1998 that the United States would disintegrate into six nations around 2010.

Read previous cases claiming that massive fraud has taken place in the presidential elections, or that civil war is imminent in radically-divided American society, or that Biden is already talking about a coup, or that the American democratic party is organizing a civil war, and that civil war shall be a political game to prevent [Donald] Trump from being re-elected.

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  • Reported in: Issue 225
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 08/12/2020
  • Outlet language(s) Arabic
  • Countries and/or Regions discussed in the disinformation: US
  • Keywords: US Presidential Election 2020, US racial justice protests, Civil war, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Conspiracy theory
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Lithuania constantly interferes in the affairs of Belarus

Lithuania constantly interferes into the affairs of Belarus, supporting the opposition and calling for new elections in the neighbouring country. Lithuanian politicians think that the results of the presidential elections in Belarus were “falsified”. The Baltic countries implement personal sanctions against some Belarusian officials, including President Alexander Lukashenko.

Moscow has urged Lithuania many times not to destabilise the situation in the neighbouring country and allow people in Belarus to take matters in their own hands.

The Belarusian authorities have said many times that protests in the country are coordinated from abroad. Lukashenko accuses Western countries of direct interference in the situation in the republic. The US is the main coordinator and Europeans are supporters of the riots in Belarus.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about Lithuania and alleged Western attempts to organise a colour revolution in Belarus.

Lithuania is a neighbour of Belarus and it continues to support the Belarusian people. This support has included the possibility for Belarusians to arrive in Lithuania under the so-called humanitarian exception, the possibility for students from Belarus to begin studies in Lithuania etc.

NATO and the US organise constant provocations near Russian borders

NATO’s Secretary General is trying to substantiate NATO’s actions in the region with fabricated pretexts. Recently, the number of aggressive actions by the alliance near the Russian border has significantly increased. It is obvious that NATO’s actions are creating tension in the region. For example, military exercises in Romania and Georgia, or a strong desire to establish a base in Georgia. as well as the constant provocations organised by NATO and the United States.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin narrative on NATO belligerence towards Russia and on Russophobia.

Every nation has the right to conduct military exercises, but it is important that they are conducted transparently and in line with international obligations.

Elections in Venezuela were free and fair

The United States and the European Union have once again rushed to denounce the legitimacy of the electoral process several weeks before the polls opened. These allegations could, of course, be very easily confirmed or refuted by sending international observers. But once again, the most powerful countries in the West rejected Maduro’s request to send independent experts. In particular, Brussels set a condition for the delay of the election process, which would be in violation of the Venezuelan constitution which stipulates that elections must be held by the end of the year in order to replace the members of the National Assembly.

Disproof

This is a recurring pro-Kremlin media report in support of Venezuela and of the authoritarian Maduro regime. It also aims to discredit international and European criticism to the electoral process and accuse the West and more specifically, the EU, of interference in the country's domestic affairs.

The EU warned the Venezuelan authorities early on about the need to create proper conditions for fair and free elections to be held. The HR/VP of the European Commission Josep Borrell had tried to achieve a consensus between the Maduro regime and the opposition led by Juan Guaido on minimum requirements for elections to be held. These efforts took place as early as last September.