Disinfo: After Nagorno Karabakh, foreign powers may try to destabilise Georgia

Summary

After the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, foreign forces may try to destabilise the situation in other countries in Transcaucasia, namely in Georgia, though this time not through military means but by attempts to exploit its internal problems. There will be attempts to organise all kind of revolutions. They succeeded in Erevan but failed in Minsk. As long as there are these kinds of forces succeeding in Erevan, Kyiv, Tblisi and other places, there won’t be calm in the Caucasus.

Disproof

Conspiracy theory not backed by any evidence, promoting several recurrent pro-Kremlin narratives about popular protests as Western-led colour revolutions, foreign powers aiming to encircle Russia, and Moscow as the ultimate target of international events.

Contrary to the claim, popular protests in Armenia and Ukraine were not destabilisation attempts orchestrated from abroad, neither is the protest movement in Belarus. This disinformation article appeared amidst a series of demonstrations in Georgia against the results of the Parliamentarian election, won by the Georgian Dream Party considered friendlier to Russia than the other leading political formations but that the opposition claimed had been rigged. By framing these demonstrations as a foreign-backed colour revolution, this narrative aims to deprive those protests of any legitimacy.

See other examples of these disinformation narratives, such as claims that clashes in Nagorno-Karabakh are part of an Anaconda Ring plan against Russia, that events in Belarus are part of a hybrid war organised from abroad, that Moscow prevented a colour revolution in Kyrgyzstan, that extremists and Nazis are being trained in Ukraine to act in Belarus, or that Angela Merkel is the handler of Belarusian and Russian opposition leaders Tsikhanouskaya and Navalny.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 221
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 19/11/2020
  • Language/target audience: Spanish, Castilian
  • Country: Georgia
  • Keywords: Nagorno-Karabakh, Colour revolutions

Disclaimer

Cases in the EUvsDisinfo database focus on messages in the international information space that are identified as providing a partial, distorted, or false depiction of reality and spread key pro-Kremlin messages. This does not necessarily imply, however, that a given outlet is linked to the Kremlin or editorially pro-Kremlin, or that it has intentionally sought to disinform. EUvsDisinfo publications do not represent an official EU position, as the information and opinions expressed are based on media reporting and analysis of the East Stratcom Task Force.

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Hillary Clinton published the Deep State strategy for the world

Hillary Clinton published a programmatic text in the US magazine Foreign Policy that can and must be considered a real strategy for the Deep State to restore US global hegemony. Considering the place of Clinton in the real ranking in US politics, the possibility for this strategy to be actually implemented is very high. The good news is that Clinton, the “shadow advisor” of the Biden Administration, calls to avoid if possible an “accidental” nuclear war with China and Russia, but the US establishment – talking through the voice of the former Secretary of State – is obsessed with the promotion of its geopolitical interests through missiles and (non-nuclear) bombs. A complete return of the Deep State to the control room of the US political, military and diplomatic machinery won’t turn into a global apocalypse, but certainly, there won’t be peace in the world: the US will try to return some production capability to its territory and will press actively its geopolitical rivals through diplomatic and military means.

Disproof

This is a deliberate distortion of an article published by former US Secretary of State and presidential candidate Hillary Clinton in the magazine Foreign Affairs, not in Foreign Policy as stated (the disinformation piece is a translation into Spanish from another article in Ria Novosti, which links the article in Foreign Affairs but mistakenly affirms that it was published in Foreign Policy magazine). The RIA Novosti article and its translation promote several recurrent pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives and conspiracy theories not backed by any evidence, such as the existence of a Deep State that rules the US above elected politicians.

Contrary to the claim, Clinton’s article is not “a Deep State strategy” but merely an op-ed by a highly experienced top US official published in a prestigious publication. Clinton has also stated that she wants no role at all in a Biden Administration, so the affirmation that she is a “shadow adviser” for Biden is also false. By attempting to link her to the Biden government and calling it “the return of the Deep State to the control of the US political, military and diplomatic machinery”, and by claiming without evidence that this will mean that “there won’t be peace in the world”, the piece aims to discredit an incoming Biden Administration as part of a long-term disinformation campaign on the US 2020 election.

The US and its allies are trying to reignite the clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan

The US and its allies are trying to reignite the animosity between the peoples of Azerbaijan and Armenia. The main NATO countries try to hide the fact that they are irritated by the agreement on a ceasefire in Nagorno Karabakh, brokered with the active participation of Russia. The US and its allies are upset because the war was stopped through Moscow’s mediation, which neutralised their years of work aiming to expel Russia from the South Caucasus. The US and the EU don’t want to tolerate the power balance in place in the region, so in order to dismantle it they thought og nothing better than trying to reignite the conflict.

Disproof

The story brings together several recurrent pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about Russia as the ultimate target of international events, an ever-aggressive West and NATO always conspiring to destabilise whole regions of the world, and long-term plans to encircle Russia.

Contrary to the claim, there is nothing indicating that Western countries are irritated by the ceasefire agreement in Nagorno Karabakh nor by the role played by Russia on it, much less that they are conspiring for a return to armed clashes. On the contrary, the European Union welcomed the agreement, and the US and France issued a joint statement admitting that Russia’s actions contributed to peace in Nagorno-Karabakh while asking for more details on the agreement.

Soros wants to destroy Armenia through the Karabakh war

The conflict in Karabakh is an attempt to liquidate Armenia. George Soros was behind the (election of) Armenian leader Nikol Pashinyan and their goal was that.

Disproof

This is the recurring pro-Kremlin narrative that the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh is coordinated by the West.

Another linked regular theme touted by pro-Kremlin media is the allegation that Armenian leader Nikol Pashinyan is controlled by George Soros.