Disinfo: Belarus will either become part of the Russian World or a limitrophe country with reduced territory under the West

Summary

Belarus’s historical horizon is painted in orange. Today a Ukrainian scenario for Belarus is more real than ever. David Cramer’s appearance on the Belarusian direction is a sign of it. This person organised an orange revolution in Ukraine. It seems that Belarus is chosen as the new goal for American political actions aimed at the destruction of the Russian World.

If Belarus goes out of the Russian World, it would follow the path of destruction of its authenticity and will lose the values of its history and culture. It will exist as a limitrophe with a declining population and probably within the reduced territory. Alternatively, if Belarus completely returns to the Russian World it will preserve its cultural uniqueness and get a chance for sustainable development.

Russia does not have a moral right to leave Belarus face-to-face with its main geopolitical adversary. Each and any Western government and NGO should realise that their destructive activities against Belarus constitute  aggression also against Russia. Russia should defend any piece of the Russian World. The West should realise that one small Belarusian town is much more important for Russian society than a dozen European capitals. Any invasion into the Russian World, be it overt or covert, will have catastrophic consequences for the aggressor.

Disproof

This is a conspiracy theory consistent with recurring disinformation narratives about the all-Russian nation and Russian world/civilisation, Western attempts to organise a colour revolution in Belarus and to disrupt Belarusian-Russian relations.

The article puts forward a false dilemma about the direction of Belarus' political development (union with Russia vs. an unavoidable degradation). This false dilemma was repeatedly promoted in earlier disinformation cases herehere, and here.

See earlier disinformation cases alleging that the Union State of Belarus and Russia saves post-Soviet countries from pro-fascist West, that the West destroyed the USSR and is currently targeting the Union State between Belarus and Russia, and that the Union State of Belarus and Russia will prevent Belarus' colonisation by the US or Europe.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 197
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 11/05/2020
  • Language/target audience: Russian
  • Country: Russia, Belarus
  • Keywords: Colour revolutions, Russian world
see more

Ukrainian General Staff intends to drive migrant workers to Donbas until they return back to Europe

Ukrainian General Staff intends to drive migrant workers to Donbas until they return back to Europe. The General Staff of “the Kyiv regime” plans to call up and mobilise reserve soldiers in a special period for up to six months. These mobilisation measures are due to the return of the so-called “zarobitchans” (ed: Ukrainians working abroad) from the EU countries to Ukraine. Conducting mobilisation activities is planned in the nearest future before more than 100,000 “zarobitchans” leave the country again in order to feed their families.

Disproof

Disinformation with no evidence given. This appears to be an attempt to scare Ukrainians and does not correspond with reality. Yes, Ukraine's migrant workers have returned home due to the coronavirus epidemic. However, the inference they will be sent to eastern Ukraine is just fiction.

Regarding the military, reserve soldiers in Ukraine are involved in training sessions every year, at a time convenient for them and their employers, during active practical training activities (training, coaching, combat shooting) of their units. The total duration of training is up to 30 days a year. This period can be extended to 3 months, but not to 6 months.

Belarusian opposition tried to disrupt the Victory Day military parade with the help of US money

The Belarusian opposition tried hard to disrupt the Victory Day military parade but did not succeed. Opposition members strongly dissuaded people from attending the parade and even offered real green dollars from Uncle Sam and the US State Department’s money for this. As soon as the Victory Day parades stop in the post-Soviet space, Americans will buy the victory from our ancestors. The Belarusian opposition easily trades the historical victory with the West.

Disproof

These are unfounded claims intended to discredit the US / West and the Belarusian opposition through baseless accusations of bad intentions towards the Victory Day military parade. This story is consistent with pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about the West's continuous attempts to undermine Belarusian society through a subservient Belarusian opposition and Western-funded NGOs.

There is no proof that the US paid the Belarusian opposition to disrupt the parade or that the opposition paid people not to attend the public event. In late March 2020, an online petition was created asking Belarus' Ministries of Health and Defence to cancel the Victory Day military parade to mitigate the coronavirus epidemic and to finance hospitals instead. Over 7,000 citizens signed the petition by March 31. The Ministry of Defence's response read that the epidemiological situation allowed for the parade to go ahead. The WHO recommended that the Belarusian authorities cancel the parade and expressed concern about its organisation amid the epidemic.

NATO pays the Belarusian opposition $1 per one person infected with coronavirus

The coronavirus outbreak is a NATO operation which is implemented on Belarus’s borders through military exercises. Due to the NATO military exercises “Spring storm” in Estonia, around 30% of Estonian soldiers became infected. The Belarusian opposition and independent media call upon NATO to come closer and spread the virus. A part of the opposition works for NATO’s benefit, including the intelligence services. This time, NATO’s task was to spread coronavirus. Hence, recent opposition activisation does not have to do with the presidential campaign but rather with this NATO task.

Opposition activists receive money for infecting people. To be precise, Americans pay $1 per each person infected with coronavirus. It is unclear how much they pay for each infected officer, official, or the president. Opposition business plans are likely to include such items. It is also unclear how much opposition activists are paid for infecting their close relatives. As everyone knows, opposition members are happy to trade their own mothers. Hence, the Belarusian opposition wages genocide on the Belarusian people and spreads biological weapon COVID-19 as part of a NATO operation.

Disproof

This is a mix of preposterous conspiracies aimed at discrediting the Belarusian opposition, civil society and independent media, and NATO. This article is one in a series alleging that the Belarusian opposition plans to organise genocide with Western support. It is consistent with recurring pro-Kremlin propaganda narratives about alleged Western aggressiveness towards Belarus, the coronavirus as West's / NATO's biological weapon, and the Belarusian opposition as a destructive Western-financed group.

Defender Europe 2020 was about military exercises not a cover-up for the spread of coronavirus. NATO’s secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg affirmed that Defender Europe 2020 was not directed against any particular country. Its purpose was to practice the rapid deployment of large-scale forces across the Atlantic into Europe, demonstrating the US military’s ability to quickly send a massive contingent to support NATO and respond to any crisis. In response to the current outbreak of the COVID-19 virus and guidance by the United States Secretary of Defence, the exercise was modified in size and scope.