Disinfo: Certain forces have encircled Russia with an explosive geopolitical belt

Summary

A gigantic effort will indeed be required from the Kremlin along the entire perimeter of the Russian state border. You can start with Finland, then walk along with the Baltic troika, Poland, Belarus, Ukraine, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan. Further – Central Asia … And so on up to the Pacific Ocean and Japan. You just need to understand that there is an openly explosive geopolitical belt, with which certain forces, working for decades, have ringed Russia. And this “martyr’s belt” was closed in the South Caucasus.

Disproof

The article appeared in the context of the recent escalation in Nagorno-Karabakh which is a continuation of the decades-old conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia. It is a conspiracy theory framing Russia as the ultimate target of international events, conflicts, revolutions and protests, based on a recurrent pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about Russia being encircled through a so-called “Anaconda plan, as well as narrative about NATO's aggressive agenda toward Russia.

This recurring pro-Kremlin narrative paints all manifestations of popular discontent in the region as colour revolutions, portrays entire nations of the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe as pathologically Russophobic, and alleges that the West is attempting to encircle Russia and create instability around all Russian border.

Read similar cases claiming that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict favours US interests, someone wants to divert Russia from Belarus and Syria, that the escalation between Armenia and Azerbaijan is directed against Russia, that clashes in Nagorno-Karabakh are part of an Anaconda Ring plan against Russia, that the US is creating a destabilising belt around Russia, or that the West is creating a “fire belt” around Russia through protests in Belarus and Kyrgyzstan.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 219
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 03/11/2020
  • Language/target audience: Russian
  • Country: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Russia, Ukraine, Baltic states, Belarus, Georgia, Poland
  • Keywords: Caucasus, Jihad, Encircling Russia, Anti-Russian, NATO

Disclaimer

Cases in the EUvsDisinfo database focus on messages in the international information space that are identified as providing a partial, distorted, or false depiction of reality and spread key pro-Kremlin messages. This does not necessarily imply, however, that a given outlet is linked to the Kremlin or editorially pro-Kremlin, or that it has intentionally sought to disinform. EUvsDisinfo publications do not represent an official EU position, as the information and opinions expressed are based on media reporting and analysis of the East Stratcom Task Force.

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The continuity in American foreign policy has another explanation. Not depending on the outcome of elections, the same people will be responsible for the sphere of foreign policy. The representatives of the “deep state” working in the CIA and other agencies consequently realise their strategy, regardless of political changes in the country.

Disproof

This message presents a classical conspiracy theory that the “deep state” and “shadow government” control the work of democratic institutions in the United States. Here are some other examples of this narrative: “Deep state” fighting with Trump; FBI appears under the influence of “Deep state”; “Deep state” shaping NATO policies. No reputable political scientists and researchers confirm the existence of a “deep state” in the United States.

The idea of a “deep state" has always been very popular among conspiracy theorists. Its manifestations might be different, but generally, the concept conjures up the image of a small group deciding the fate of the world behind the scenes. However, there is no evidence of such a "permanent bureaucracy" or "permanent government" existing in the United States.

New American President will use Poland for destabilisation of the post-Soviet countries

The most important issues for the future of Poland under the rule of the new American President are easy to define. They include the following: increase of the US military presence in Poland in order to prepare for a potential confrontation with Russia; continuation of monopolisation of the Polish gas market by American companies; implementation of business agreements clearly beneficial to Washington (such as the construction of a nuclear power plant in Poland); pushing the Chinese telecommunication companies out of Poland; use of Poland for the destabilisation of the situation in the post-Soviet countries; realisation of next expensive military contracts.

Disproof

This message is a mix of the most popular disinformation narratives about US-Polish relations. It promotes the idea that the USA uses Poland as a “puppet-state” in order to achieve its economic and international goals.

The claim that the US authorities use Poland in order to destabilise the post-Soviet countries is a conspiracy theory. The import of the American LNG to Poland is aimed at de-monopolisation of the Polish energy market, making it less dependent on the Russian gas supplies.

US struck by its own technologies of colour revolutions during presidential elections

The presidential elections 2020 in the US have some specific attributes. These are the first elections where the US colour revolution technologies have returned back home. Now the people who exported colour revolutions to the World are suffering from them.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about colour revolutions in post-Soviet states. Kremlin-backed propaganda frequently claims that popular unrest in some countries (Georgia, Ukraine, Moldova, Belarus) are specific political techniques which the US uses in former Soviet states. This narrative traditionally stresses that colour revolutions are directed against Russia and Russian influence in the post-Soviet area.

This article is portraying the events of the past few days in the US as "the first colour revolution returned back home”. The claim is a manipulative one linked to a strong pro-Trump bias in Russian state media.