Disinfo: Events in Belarus, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan are communicating vessels

Summary

The Belarusian, Ukrainian and Kazakh cases are communicating vessels. [Developments in these countries] overlap with relations between the West and Russia. The alleged people’s revolt in Kazakhstan (which turned into riots), the concentration of the Ukrainian and Russian troops on the border, a dispute on the Polish-Belarusian border – these developments include things behind-the-scenes, which we have no idea about. Russia presented its expectations during the talks with the US in Geneva and now the West is trying to take the ball.

Disproof

This claim advances an emerging pro-Kremlin narrative alleging that the January 2022 anti-government protests in Kazakhstan are part of a US policy of staging “colour revolutions” worldwide with the aim of destabilising Russia.

The pro-Kremlin media frequently falsely portray popular protests around the world as instigated from abroad, often by the US and the West. This disinformation narrative has been applied, among others, to reports about protests in Ukraine and Belarus with the aim of discrediting these movements as aggressive actors supported by foreign powers.

Regarding the Belarus / Polish border: the casue of the dispute is the Lukashenko regimes cynical use of irregular migrants, primarily from the wider MENA-region to manufacture a crisis for the EU. By luring people with false promises of easy entry into the EU, Lukashenko, backed by Russian and pro-Kremlin media outlets, drove migrants towards EU borders. This campaign failed in January 2022, but the disinformantion suggesting no role of Belarus lingers on. The trigger and immediate cause of the protests in Kazakhstan was the government’s lifting of price controls on liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) that took place in early January in the Western region of Manghystau and unrest soon spread to the capital.

As the Guardian reports, the official story from the Kremlin began with explanations that the protests were a military coup organised by foreign terrorists. Later the notion of a “colour revolution” is added. However, the narrative is not based on facts and contains many gaps and inconsistencies.

See also the statement by the EU High Representative here.

Read also related examples of disinformation claims: US-sponsored Kazakhstan protests aimed to undermine CIS stability, Protests in Kazakhstan are a new Western attempt to organise a colour revolution or EU and the US aim to generate a new wave of anti-government protests in Belarus.

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pl.sputniknews.com (Archived)
  • Reported in: Issue 270
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 11/01/2022
  • Article language(s) Polish
  • Countries and/or Regions discussed in the disinformation: Belarus, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Russia, US
  • Keywords: Colour revolutions, Encircling Russia, War in Ukraine, Migration crisis, Protest, Diplomacy with Russia, Destabilising Russia
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Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about NATO enlargement.

This claim has been debunked numerous times. NATO did not promise not to expand into eastern and central Europe back in 1990, which was confirmed by the former president of the Soviet Union Mikhail Gorbachev. Back in 2014, Gorbachev said “The topic of ‘NATO expansion was not discussed at all, and it wasn’t brought up in those years. I say this with full responsibility. Not a single eastern European country raised the issue, not even after the Warsaw Pact ceased to exist in 1991.”

Disinfo: UK-led Deep State failed in Kazakhstan due to Russian ultimatum

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Over time, the Deep State broke up the USSR by helping Khrushchev and Gorbachev to come to power. Following the USSR collapse, their main goal became to disintegrate Russia. MI6 head Powell, de facto the head of Deep State’s intelligence service, planned a Libyan scenario in Kazakhstan for spring 2022. However, Ryabkov’s ultimatum made the Brits hurry up and start special operations in early January instead of March. In the end, the Deep State failed.

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Disproof

This case frames events in Kazakhstan into a big conspiracy about a secret, UK-led Deep State that dominates the world. It also rewrites the course of historical events such as the provocation of two world wars and the USSR break up. Read our past analysis: "Why authoritarians love the concept of the big conspiracy."

The case also seeks to lay the responsibility on the UK-led Deep State for the unrest in Kazakhstan which is fueled by high gas prices and social discontent in Kazakh society. There is no factual evidence neither about the existence of such a UK-led Deep State and its overwhelming influence on world politics nor about its vicious plans concerning Kazakhstan. There is also no evidence whatsoever that the timing of unrest in Kazakhstan is related to Russia's ultimatum of late December 2021 concerning a new security deal with NATO.

Disinfo: Lithuania and Latvia refuse to help Belarus in investigation of genocide of Belarusians during WWII

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Jan 10, 2022
Disproof

A recurring accusation from pro-Kremlin media accusing the Baltic states of sympathies to Nazi/Fascists.

Lithuania and Latvia declined the invitation from the Belarus regime because the case in question lacks evidence and is based on doubtful legal and historical grounds (see public broadcaster LRT's publication “Minsk seeks to extradite members of ‘Lithuanian SS battalion’ that never existed”).