Disinfo: Five peculiarities around the Boeing shot down in Iran, US might be behind the crash

Summary

There are serious doubts even in expert circles that Iran accidentally shot down the Ukrainian plane. There are five peculiarities around the incident:

  1. The fact that Iran quickly admitted responsibility […] gives rise to thoughts that Iran took responsibility consciously. Maybe to prevent an even more serious problem.
  2. The quality of the first video is too high; as if they intentionally make it to later introduce it [to the world] – as proof that Iran is guilty.
  3. The weird behaviour of Canadian intelligence. Canada itself believed at first that the crash had happened because technical issues and only changed the story once Donald Trump said he did not believe it had been caused by a mechanical error.
  4. The demonstration on 12 January at the Amirkabir University in Tehran, where protesters demand the government to resign. Even though this was not close to anything similar to Maidan in Ukraine, but certainly worthy of attention.
  5. It is incomprehensible why Iran would give the flight recorders, the black boxes to France instead of inviting French experts to Iran.

The plane might have been shot down by the equipment of the Iranian Air Defence Forces, but it cannot be excluded that some external forces had an influence on the air defence equipment of the Islamic Republic. The US has the technical prerequisites for such influencing efforts.

Disproof

A collection of unfounded claims, attempting to depict the United States as the culprit in the tragedy.

Iran admitted its guilt after several days, as more and more details on the incident appeared. There is no evidence whatsoever that Iran wanted to prevent any potential future "more serious problem" and there is no proof that the first video was prepared in advance to use it as evidence against Iran. The Canadian PM Justin Trudeau, when announcing that the plane might have downed by Iran, said that Canadian intelligence received input from allies and had their own sources as well. Intelligence-sharing is commonplace among Western allies.

The article hints that the demonstrations in Tehran was influenced by outside forces, "similar to the Euromaidan". The protests in Ukraine was caused by a deep popular discontent with the then President of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych.

Finally, Iran has not handed over the flight recorders to French authorities. The Iranian government has backtracked on a promise to send the so called black boxes to Ukraine.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 180
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 14/01/2020
  • Language/target audience: Hungarian
  • Country: Iran, Ukraine, US
  • Keywords: PS752
  • Outlet: News-Front
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US-Iran row showed that Russia has free hands to kidnap Lithuanian judges

The killing of Qasem Soleimani on US’s whim means that Russia’s hands are free to act as it wants. Donald Trump’s “life hack” gives Russia, the greatest military power in the world, truly unlimited opportunities. For example, now the Kremlin can send its special forces to Lithuania and kidnap Lithuanian judges and prosecutors who convicted Soviet military officers in the criminal case over the clashes by Vilnius TV tower on the 13th of January 1991. Of course, the Lithuanian authorities would start loud protests and even claim that this would be enough to declare a war against Russia, but NATO would only express its deep concern over this case.

Disproof

Ungrounded speculation advancing a recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative that Baltic States cannot rely on US and NATO. See previous disinformation cases, alleging that US does not care about the Baltic states and wants Russia to buy them and that the U.S. will easily betray the Baltic states and hand them over to Russia.

The killing of Qaseim Suleimani does not set a legal precedent and in no way relate to Lithuanian judges or courts.

The EU intentionally destroyed economies of the Baltic states

The Baltic states are facing demographic catastrophe because its youth emigrated. This happened as a result of the EU’s deliberate destruction of the Baltic states’ economies.

Disproof

This is a conspiracy theory and propagandistic claim aimed at discrediting the EU and its economic policies and to ridicule the Baltic states by exacerbating the demographic decline that they face. In fact, many other eastern European countries experience a population decline, including Russia.

Economies of the Baltic states during their EU membership grew at a much higher rate than Eurozone economies. Although the GDP per capita in the Baltic states remains below the EU average, it has been rapidly approaching the average. For instance, this indicator for Estonia stood at 54% when the country joined the EU and increased to 77% by 2017. The economic situation of all three Baltic states is rather positive and demonstrates one of the leading economic growth indicators in the EU. The dynamics within the last years can be seen here.

Belarus and the Russian Federation are parts of Russia, they will be united

Russian government resigned because its economic theory was not functional. If so, an appointment of a new government increases chances for deeper integration of two parts of Russia. Both the Russian Federation and Belarus are parts of Russia. Sooner or later the country will be united.

Disproof

This is an extreme variation of recurring pro-Kremlin propagandistic narrative about Belarus as an integral part of the Russian world. The latter is based on the concept of all-Russian civilisation, an imperial Russian and Russian irredentist ideology that is a favoured pro-Kremlin narrative aimed at weakening the national identity of Belarusians as well as Ukrainians.

Belarus is a well-defined nation-state with a long history, which preserved its language, literature and identity, despite foreign rule for long periods. The Rus- part of the country's name, contrary to popular belief, does not originate from Russia. Instead, the names for both Russia and Belarus derive from an Old Norse term for "the men who row," because Scandinavian people had a significant impact on state formation in eastern Europe from eighth to eleventh centuries AD.