In the nearest future we may expect a provocation in Crimea from NATO

Summary

In the nearest future we may expect a provocation in Crimea from NATO. Such steps are necessary to either bring Poroshenko to power or for cancelling the elections.

Disproof

Conspiracy theory, consistent with recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about provocations and presidential election in Ukraine. 

The disinformation message appeared in relation to the statement of the Ukrainian minister of foreign affairs that Ukraine needs to get back its occupied territories - Crimea and Donbas.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 144
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 05/04/2019
  • Language/target audience: Russian
  • Country: Ukraine
  • Keywords: Provocation, NATO, Petro Poroshenko, Elections, Crimea
  • Outlet: Vremya Pokhazet @ Pervyi Kanal (53:30- 54:24)
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After the election Ukraine will fall apart

No matter who wins the second round of the Ukrainian election, the country will fall apart. If Zelensky wins, Poroshenko will call on the nationalists to hit the streets and if Poroshenko wins, then Tymoshenko will call people to the streets. Ukraine will fall apart and the south eastern regions must become a part of Russia.

Disproof

Conspiracy theory with no evidence. Consistent with recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation about the presidential election in Ukraine. 

Despite promises made to Gorbachev, NATO expanded to include former USSR and Warsaw Pact countries

At the time of German reunification, NATO promised Gorbachev that it would not expand to the East in the case the USSR gave up the Warsaw Pact and allowed the fall of Berlin wall.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation that NATO had promised that the Alliance would not expand to the East.

NATO Allies take decisions by consensus and these are recorded.  There is no record of any such decision having been taken by NATO.  Personal assurances from individual leaders cannot replace Alliance consensus and do not constitute formal NATO agreement.