INF Treaty dissolution could provoke Ukraine to develop its own nuclear program

Summary

The US has begun to promote the idea that, after leaving the INF Treaty, Ukraine in particular could afford the luxury of doing whatever it wants. Ukraine is not a member of this treaty, because the INF Treaty was signed when the USSR existed.

As soon as Ukraine gets nuclear weapons, Europe will begin to get very nervous, because Ukraine is a country where Nazis and supporters of Bandera are in power.

Disproof

No evidence provided.

After the fall of the USSR, Ukraine inherited the third biggest nuclear arsenal in the world. On December 5, 1994, the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances was signed. According to the document, signatory countries - Great Britain, Russia and the United States - pledged themselves to be guarantors of the independence, sovereignty and borders of Ukraine. In exchange, Ukraine renounced its nuclear status.

In June 1996, Ukraine fully complied with its agreements - all nuclear warheads were transferred to Russia for destruction, and classified strategic bases were transferred to non-military use.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 139
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 05/03/2019
  • Language/target audience: Russian
  • Country: United States, Russia, Ukraine
  • Keywords: Nuclear issues
  • Outlet: Polnyi Kontakt @ Radio Vesti FM (10:50 and 14:54)
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Russia’s accusation of Skripal poisoning is a deadcatting strategy

What happened in Salisbury on March 4, 2018? A year later, the British have not yet provided a clear explanation. But the answer to the question “why is all this necessary?” is now obvious.

This is part of the “dead cat” strategy, explained by former British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson. When someone is being defeated in an argument, the best thing to do is to “throw a dead cat on the table” said Johnson. This produces a clear effect: it attracts attention and makes everyone scream  – distracting from the real problems.

Disproof

Boris Johnson indeed spoke about a "dead cat", but it was 5 years before the Skripals’ poisoning, on 3 March 2013, while talking about the euro.

Straight after the poisoning of the Skripals, Boris Johnson pointed the finger at Russian President Vladimir Putin as "overwhelmingly likely" to be responsible: "Our quarrel is with Putin's Kremlin and with his decision, and we think it is overwhelmingly likely that it was his decision to direct the use of a nerve agent on the streets of the U.K." Johnson said.

Theresa May was probably behind poisoning of Skripals, to compensate for Brexit negotiations failure

The poisoning was meant to turn public attention away from Theresa May’s Brexit-associated problems and to demonize Russia. Theresa May herself probably ordered the Skripals’ poisoning. No evidence of Russia’s involvement in the Skripals’ poisoning was produced. All accusations against Russia turned out to be groundless. There was no certainty concerning the form of the poisonous substance. If Novichok had been brought to Salisbury, its entire population would have died. Documents published by hacker group Anonymous prove that the poisoning was a distraction. 

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative of the UK behind poisoning of Sergey Skripal and his daughter Yulia.

By March 2018, EUvsDisinfo had already collected 20 different narratives about the Skripal case. It had catalogued over 100 disinformation messages around the Salisbury attack. The disinformation messages implying UK government conspiracy behind the Skripal case are often-used method of applying a pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about the Salisbury poisoning.

West continues investing in the destabilisation of Belarus through Lithuania and Western media

A recent report by Lithuania’s State Security Department and articles relating to Belarus in the Western media are part of Western information war against Belarus.

Western countries and the US want to foster negative public opinion about Belarusian authorities and their policies. Closer cooperation between Belarus and Russia should take place to counteract the West’s information war and hybrid threats.

Disproof

Conspiracy theory, which is part of the recurring pro-Kremlin narrative about Western information war against Russia and Belarus.

The National Threat Assessment 2019 is a regular annual report produced by the State Security Department and Lithuania's Ministry of National Defence.