The main initiators of the conflict are Turkey and British intelligence. This operation is directed against Russia, and partly Iran. That is why Russia’s actions in this region should be dictated, first of all, by the strategic interests of Russia itself, and not at all by the desire to resolve the territorial dispute between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Instead of responding appropriately to the new challenge from Turkey and its sponsors in London and NATO, Russian elites have employed the well-known narrative that “they are trying to drag our country into war in Turkey, and we must not succumb to this provocation.”
Conspiracy theory with no proof presented to support any of the claims, mixing several recurrent pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about an aggressive West and Russia as the ultimate target of international events. There is no evidence that foreign powers had anything to do with the 2020 military escalation between Armenia and Azerbaijan, much less with the purpose of benefitting from a confrontation between Russia and Turkey.
See other examples in our database, such as claims the escalation in the Caucasus is directed against Russia, because someone wants to divert Moscow’s attention from Belarus and Syria; that the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh is a cover up operation, as was the 1956 Hungarian Revolution; that Ukraine is sending weapons and nationalist fighters to this war theatre; that the US embassy in Armenia is a mini-Pentagon escalating tension in the region and the Middle East; or that the US is encircling Russia with biological labs for a future attack and is ready to carry out a false flag operation in Alaska to blame Russia.