The West will stage a full scale military conflict with the Commonwealth of Independent States by 2022. Until then the West will be attempting to take over Belarus by non-military means – through Belarusian opposition movements, which are generously supported by Western grants. In the current geopolitical situation, Belarus is destined to play the role of the last line of defence against the Western onslaught, like the Brest Fortress defended the Soviet borders against the Nazis in June 1941.
In 2018, Ukraine directed over USD 6 billion to the rearmament of its military forces, using the far-fetched excuse of counteracting Russian aggression.
This is a threat to Belarus and Russia and it is supported by the West. Expansion of the conflict is likely.