Disinfo: Poland plans to take over Minsk after extensive subversive activities in Belarus

Summary

In 2006, Poland adopted a state programme for building the Fourth Rzeczpospolita. Its goal is to extend Poland’s cultural and political domination over the territories which were part of the first Rzeczpospolita until the late XVIII century. This geopolitical project directly concerns Belarus and Ukraine. The state programme has both humanitarian and military elements. Under the latter, an increasing militarisation of Poland must be taken into account. The former envisages increasing Polish influence over Belarus by issuing the Pole’s Card to Belarusian citizens and the promotion of Polish historic views among Belarusian intelligentsia, officials and students. The humanitarian element is a first phase, its objectives are to trick, deceive, derussify and to take away the sense of self-preservation from Belarusian society as well as to disrupt the allied relations between Belarus and Russia. Following this phase, Poland plans to send its troops to take over Minsk as in 1919. Given this, only a strong Union with Great Russia is a true guarantee of Belarus’ territorial integrity and its sustainable development.

Disproof

This is a conspiracy theory with no evidence given. It is consistent with recurring pro-Kremlin narratives about Polish plans to re-establish its empire at the expense of its Eastern neighbours, and about the West's plans to disrupt Belarusian-Russian relations and to destabilise Belarus. Poland respects the territorial integrity of its neighbouring states and does not have a state programme to establishing the Fourth Rzeczpospolita. The IV Rzeczpospolita, or Fourth Republic, was a plan for a moral revolution and political change put forward in the late 1990s by the Polish conservative philosopher Rafał Matyja and used in public discourse to describe the 2005-2007 period, when the Law and Justice party was in the government for the first time. However, this concept has nothing to do with establishing a Polish empire at the expense of Poland's eastern neighbours, including Belarus. Read more about the use of conspiracy here. Other examples of disinformation messages include alleging that Poland has plans to turn Belarus into a vassal, anti-Russian state with Belarus’ western part being an eastern part of a new Polish state, and that the Polish doctrine of IV Rzeczpospolita is part of the US doctrine of global dominance.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 152
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 22/05/2019
  • Outlet language(s) Russian
  • Countries and/or Regions discussed in the disinformation: Poland, Belarus, Russia
  • Keywords: Military, Anti-Russian, Conspiracy theory
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Disinfo: There is no evidence of Russian intervention in Ukrainian elections

A panel of experts from the American Atlantic Council and Ukrainian NGOs has prepared a report stating that Russia allegedly intervened in the presidential election in Ukraine. However, specific examples or evidence of this theory are not given, and the document itself contains only general information about the anti-Russian character and the statements of Kyiv officials.

Disproof

This is another attempt to deny Russia's attempts at interference in elections and referenda. The Atlantic Council, the Victor Pinchuk Foundation, and the Transatlantic Commission on Election Integrity established the Ukrainian Election Task Force. Working with other Ukrainian institutions — StopFake and the Razumkov Centre — the three partners created a rapid-response team with the ability to monitor, evaluate, and disclose the full range of foreign subversive activities in Ukraine, and to propose suitable responses. Regarding disinformation: "According to task force monitors and analyses the majority of disinformation messages targeted at the Ukrainian elections stemmed from the grand narrative claiming that the elections would be rigged, illegitimate, and should not be trusted no matter the result." Also: "Kremlin outlets voiced many false accusations about the alleged spread of Nazism in Ukraine, or about the Ukrainian state planning terror attacks and contract killings on its territory in order to influence the elections. In one of the more erratic attacks, the Ukrainian army was accused of cannibalism and occultism." See here for other disinformation cases about Russian interference in different elections.

Disinfo: The report highlighting Russian interference in Ukrainian election is preparation for further aggravation of relations with Moscow

Russian experts suggest that the joint report of the US Atlantic Council and Ukrainian NGOs on alleged Russian interference in the Presidential election in Ukraine could be part of preparation for a new aggravation of relations between Moscow and Kyiv.

Disproof

No evidence given.

The Atlantic Council, the Victor Pinchuk Foundation, and the Transatlantic Commission on Election Integrity established the Ukrainian Election Task Force. Working with other Ukrainian institutions—StopFake and the Razumkov Centre—the three partners created a rapid-response team with the ability to monitor, evaluate, and disclose the full range of foreign subversive activities in Ukraine, and to propose suitable responses. There is no goal to aggravate relations with Moscow with this report.

Disinfo: Ukraine is under foreign control

A panel of experts from the American Atlantic Council and Ukrainian NGOs has prepared a report stating that Russia allegedly intervened in the presidential election in Ukraine.

Russian experts stressed that it would be much more interesting to conduct a study on the impact of the EU and the US on elections and other processes in Ukraine. Ukrainian experts say straightforwardly that the country is under external control.

Disproof

No evidence given. Recurring Kremlin narrative about Ukraine, which allegedly is under external control from the US or EU.

Ukraine is a sovereign state, not controlled by any foreign government. Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity are respected by almost the whole world, including the EU.