The reality on the line of contact of forces in Donbas is frightening, the provocations of the Ukrainian military are not single, but multiple. Russia, not being a party to the conflict, cannot ensure a comprehensive ceasefire in Donbas, but uses its influence to implement agreements. Moscow has repeatedly stated that it is not a party to the internal Ukrainian conflict and is interested in Kyiv overcoming the political and economic crisis.
It is known that many leaders of the pro-Western Belarusian opposition are currently situated on the territory of Poland, and Belarus cannot ignore this fact. Although, it is unfortunate having a "bad neighbour" near Belarus. It seems that the ideal scenario here would be to stabilise the socio-political situation in Belarus and to restore the people's trust in the [Belarusian] authorities. In this situation, the Polish leadership will undoubtedly lose interest in the Belarusian political emigration and will prefer to deal with the Belarusian state as it was before.
A recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about the Polish policy towards Belarus – this country is regularly accused in attempts to organise a colour revolution in Belarus.
The claim that Poland “will lose interest in the Belarusian opposition and will return to previous relations with the Belarusian authorities as it was before” is unfounded.
First, Poland and the rest of the EU do not recognise the results of the manipulated 2020 Presidential elections in Belarus – the EU member states do not recognise Alexander Lukashenka as a legitimate Belarusian President. There is no doubt that the recent Presidential elections in Belarus were not free and the results were substantially manipulated – this position is shared by the EU, OSCE, and the USA.
In this situation, the Polish authorities communicate with the leaders of the Belarusian democratic opposition such as Svetlana Tsikhanouskaya and other representatives of the Belarusian society as these people have strong public support in Belarus.
The Polish-Belarusian relations will substantially improve if the Belarusian authorities organise free and democratic elections, stop violent repressions and release political prisoners.
See other cases on post-election relations between Belarus and Poland: Megalomaniacal Polish politicians realise their plan of “Drang nach Osten” in Belarus; The Polish position on Belarus is exceptionally hostile and In Belarus, Poland focuses exclusively on relations with the opposition.
The disinformation message appeared in the same article as the claim that Ukraine is an integral part of the Russian World, only Russia can solve its domestic conflict.