What is very clear is that if we rely on the facts, the organization which allegedly poisoned Alexei Navalny was really clumsy and amateur because the agent Novichok can kill tens of thousands, even hundreds of thousands of people. And they are not able to get rid of a former agent in England, Skripal, or an opponent in Russia, Navalny. It is still extraordinary!
The Russian doctors saved Navalny’s life and allowed his transfer to Berlin. This is not a potential culprit behaviour. It is rather the normal behaviour of a normal country which finds itself in front of a situation which was absolutely not foreseen. Maybe there are groups in Russia who want Navalny dead. We know that Navalny is not very popular. But the accusations made go directly to the Kremlin. The Kremlin-guided poisoning thesis doesn’t make sense.
On the other hand, it is very clear, like many other instances, that this comes at an important moment in the relations between the Western states and Russia. What is at stake is the end of the construction of the Nord-Stream 2 gas pipeline disputed by the United States. There is a concomitance which is significant.