The US might be provoking the “yellow vest” protests in France.
Poroshenko is, as we see in Kerch, as we see in Donbas, willing to do anything and provoke any kind of bloodshed in order to secure his re-election, however improbable it is.
Recurring pro-Kremlin narrative that Ukraine is a provocative and aggressive state.
Pro-Kremlin sources repeatedly accused Ukraine of plans for escalation without providing any evidence, see e.g. euvsdisinfo.eu/report/ukraine-planning-major-hostilities-during-the-world-cup/; euvsdisinfo.eu/report/ukraine-is-increasing-its-military-presence-in-donbas-and-is-preparing-a-major-provocation/; or euvsdisinfo.eu/report/possible-that-kiev-plans-provocation-with-chemical-weapons-in-donbas/