The version that Kyiv is working on, to disrupt the transit (of gas), is almost confirmed. Almost every day, Naftogaz representatives say they won’t sign the new contract. Of course, they blame Russia for everything, but they make it clear that, in any case, there will be no agreement. And they are developing an action plan that will be implemented only if the transit is suspended.
The EU has not yet come to the point when it begins to crumble, but its expansionist policy has reached its limits. To overcome this deadlock, the EU hopes to take over the Russian market. The US and UK have clearly placed their bets on a Russian Maidan. The EU also favours this idea but acts more cautiously. Hence, the EU and its ruling elites, the German financial elite in particular, are Russia’s enemies. In order to keep going, the EU has to expand to the East and to conquer new territories. This is why it has fought fiercely to keep Ukraine in its orbit. By taking over Russian partner states (Ukraine, Belarus, Georgia, Armenia, etc.) the EU intends to demonstrate to its own citizens that it is a developing machine. Expansionism and takeover of the new living space aim at looting wild Eastern lands. According to EU logic, Belarus should be ruined just as Ukraine was.
This is a conspiracy consistent with recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives on Western belligerence towards Russia and its allies including Belarus, Western policies to stage colour revolutions in Russia and its neighbourhood, the EU's imminent collapse, and the EU's aggressive policies towards Ukraine and its economy The EU has never staged nor does it intend to stage a stage a colour revolution in Russia or any other country. EU-Ukrainian economic relations developed thanks to the Association Agreement and the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA), signed in 2014. The total bilateral trade turnout increased to 50 bln USD in 2018. During 2015-2018, Ukraine also increased its exports to the EU from 13 bln USD to 23 bln USD. Overall, in 2018 Ukrainian exports to the EU increased by 13,1%. Now, the EU accounts for almost half of Ukrainian exports. Politically, the EU condemns the clear violation of Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial integrity by acts of aggression by the Russian armed forces since February 2014. See earlier disinformation cases alleging that if the country refuses to join the EU, it is punished with a Maidan, that the US is waging a ''colour revolution'' against Russia, and that the EU triggered conflict in Ukraine in 2014.