The protests in Georgia were US rehearsal for a colour revolution in Belarus

Summary

Colour revolution techniques increasingly manifest in the continued protests in Tbilisi. It is a strange coincidence that Mike Carpenter, former US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, tweeted about the possible negative consequences of the open door policy of the current Georgian government in relations with Russia just a couple days before the scandal in the Georgian parliament took place. Carpenter is one of the Kyiv Maidan curators who was later in charge of Ukraine’s external governance.

Washington curators of the ‘sanitary zone’ along Russian borders are unhappy about the normalisation of Georgian-Russian relations. They need the heaviest possible anti-Russian policies from post-Soviet countries. Any sovereign decision of Georgia disliked by the US, be it non-alignment with Western sanctions over Russia or abolition of visas for Russian tourists, risk provoking a colour revolution. Professional regime changers work on making the Belarusian government pro-Western in order to achieve a revolution in Belarus too.

Last year, Carpenter visited Belarus allegedly in the framework of restoring relations with the West. Over 20 years, the West has created all infrastructure necessary for a regime change in Belarus. Dozens of media outlets, NGOs, political parties, etc. function on American and European money. All of them can mobilise their audiences and employees to take part in mass riots at any moment.

Disproof

The disinformation message is based on several recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives. It casts any spontaneous disorders and civil uprisings in other states as US-funded "colour revolutions", be they in GeorgiaUkraine, or Belarus. It is also consistent with pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about the US and its global role, Ukraine being under external control and lacking sovereignty, and the West's activities to disrupt Belarus-Russia relations and West's strategy of encircling Russia.

The current protests in Georgia were a spontaneous public reaction calling for the resignation of key national officials after Russian State Duma Deputy Sergei Gavrilov sat in the Georgian parliamentary speaker's seat while addressing a council of lawmakers from predominantly Orthodox Christian countries - the Interparliamentary Assembly on Orthodoxy (IAO). Gavrilov is known for his support to Russia's aggression in Georgia's Abkhazia and South Ossetia regions.

Russia continues its military presence in both Abkhazia and South Ossetia  in violation of international law and commitments undertaken by Russia under the 12 August 2008 agreement, mediated by the European Union.

Michael Carpenter was Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense with responsibility for Russia, Ukraine, Eurasia, the Balkans, and Conventional Arms Control. He is a target of pro-Kremlin disinformation because he is an outspoken critic of Russia's aggressive foreign policy. He is currently Senior Director of the Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement. In November 2018, Carpenter traveled to Minsk with a delegation from the Jamestown Foundation, where he serves on the board of directors. The trip was a fact-finding visit to meet with Belarusian President Alyaksandr Lukashenka and other civilian and military officials. According to a press release, "the goal of the visit was to assess the growing importance of Belarus in its critical location between Russia and NATO member countries as well as between Russia and Ukraine. The delegation also took stock of the ongoing rapprochement between Belarus and the United States in the changing European security environment."

There is no evidence to support the claim that the US is pursuing regime change or a colour revolution in Belarus. The Jamestown press release further stated: "President Lukashenka emphasized his country’s ability to guarantee its security and self-defense with its own forces. While maintaining close economic and military ties of alliance with Russia, as the President reaffirmed, Belarus neither needs nor intends to host a Russian military base in the country. Belarus would regard any increase in military deployments in this part of Europe as a matter of serious concern. President Lukashenka underscored the value of Belarus’s state sovereignty and internal stability as a basis for the country’s economic and social development. He also outlined Belarus’s multi-vector foreign policy of non-zero-sum cooperation with Russia, the European Union, the United States, and China."

See earlier disinformation cases alleging that the protests in Georgia are a Russophobic absurd theatre, that the West finances the Belarusian opposition and NGOs to disrupt Belarus-Russia relations, and that the US is using Poland, Ukraine and other countries as a sanitary cordon against Russia. For cases about the West attempting to organise unrest or a colour revolution in Belarus, see here, here and here.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 156
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 26/06/2019
  • Language/target audience: Belarus, Russian
  • Country: Russia, The West, Belarus, US, Georgia
  • Keywords: Encircling Russia, Anti-Russian, Destabilising Russia, US presence in Europe, Sovereignty, Colour revolutions, Russophobia, Euromaidan, Conspiracy
  • Outlet: RuBaltic.ru
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Disproof

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