Disinfo: The protests in Georgia were US rehearsal for a colour revolution in Belarus

Summary

Colour revolution techniques increasingly manifest in the continued protests in Tbilisi. It is a strange coincidence that Mike Carpenter, former US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, tweeted about the possible negative consequences of the open door policy of the current Georgian government in relations with Russia just a couple days before the scandal in the Georgian parliament took place. Carpenter is one of the Kyiv Maidan curators who was later in charge of Ukraine’s external governance. Washington curators of the ‘sanitary zone’ along Russian borders are unhappy about the normalisation of Georgian-Russian relations. They need the heaviest possible anti-Russian policies from post-Soviet countries. Any sovereign decision of Georgia disliked by the US, be it non-alignment with Western sanctions over Russia or abolition of visas for Russian tourists, risk provoking a colour revolution. Professional regime changers work on making the Belarusian government pro-Western in order to achieve a revolution in Belarus too. Last year, Carpenter visited Belarus allegedly in the framework of restoring relations with the West. Over 20 years, the West has created all infrastructure necessary for a regime change in Belarus. Dozens of media outlets, NGOs, political parties, etc. function on American and European money. All of them can mobilise their audiences and employees to take part in mass riots at any moment.

Disproof

The disinformation message is based on several recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives. It casts any spontaneous disorders and civil uprisings in other states as US-funded "colour revolutions", be they in Georgia, Ukraine, or Belarus. It is also consistent with pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about the US and its global role, Ukraine being under external control and lacking sovereignty, and the West's activities to disrupt Belarus-Russia relations and West's strategy of encircling Russia.

The current protests in Georgia were a spontaneous public reaction calling for the resignation of key national officials after Russian State Duma Deputy Sergei Gavrilov sat in the Georgian parliamentary speaker's seat while addressing a council of lawmakers from predominantly Orthodox Christian countries - the Interparliamentary Assembly on Orthodoxy (IAO). Gavrilov is known for his support to Russia's aggression in Georgia's Abkhazia and South Ossetia regions. Russia continues its military presence in both Abkhazia and South Ossetia in violation of international law and commitments undertaken by Russia under the 12 August 2008 agreement, mediated by the European Union.

Michael Carpenter was Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense with responsibility for Russia, Ukraine, Eurasia, the Balkans, and Conventional Arms Control. He is a target of pro-Kremlin disinformation because he is an outspoken critic of Russia's aggressive foreign policy. He is currently Senior Director of the Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement. In November 2018, Carpenter traveled to Minsk with a delegation from the Jamestown Foundation, where he serves on the board of directors. The trip was a fact-finding visit to meet with Belarusian President Alyaksandr Lukashenka and other civilian and military officials. According to a press release, "the goal of the visit was to assess the growing importance of Belarus in its critical location between Russia and NATO member countries as well as between Russia and Ukraine. The delegation also took stock of the ongoing rapprochement between Belarus and the United States in the changing European security environment." There is no evidence to support the claim that the US is pursuing regime change or a colour revolution in Belarus. The Jamestown press release further stated: "President Lukashenka emphasized his country’s ability to guarantee its security and self-defense with its own forces. While maintaining close economic and military ties of alliance with Russia, as the President reaffirmed, Belarus neither needs nor intends to host a Russian military base in the country. Belarus would regard any increase in military deployments in this part of Europe as a matter of serious concern. President Lukashenka underscored the value of Belarus’s state sovereignty and internal stability as a basis for the country’s economic and social development. He also outlined Belarus’s multi-vector foreign policy of non-zero-sum cooperation with Russia, the European Union, the United States, and China." See earlier disinformation cases alleging that the protests in Georgia are a Russophobic absurd theatre, that the West finances the Belarusian opposition and NGOs to disrupt Belarus-Russia relations, and that the US is using Poland, Ukraine and other countries as a sanitary cordon against Russia. For cases about the West attempting to organise unrest or a colour revolution in Belarus, see here, here and here.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 156
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 26/06/2019
  • Outlet language(s) Russian
  • Country: Georgia, US, Belarus, Russia
  • Keywords: West, Anti-Russian, Encircling Russia, Destabilising Russia, US presence in Europe, Colour revolutions, Sovereignty, Conspiracy theory, Euromaidan, Russophobia
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Ukrainian Institute of National Remembrance is anti-Russian

The Ukrainian Institute of National Remembrance has a clear mission – to stigmatise the Soviet’s past and to justify the Ukrainian nationalists. It has to develop a state ideology directed against Russia and the Russian-speaking population of Ukraine.

Disproof

This is a pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about anti-Russian sentiments in Ukraine and in the West. The Ukrainian Institute of National Remembrance is not directed against Russia or the Soviet past. It was established on 31 May 2006, as a special governmental institution for the restoration and preservation of the national memory of the Ukrainian people. The Institute directs the decommunisation process in Ukraine and provides access to state archives concerning repression during the Soviet past in accordance with the law “On access to the archives of repressive bodies of the communist totalitarian regime from 1917-1991”. The Institute has three main functions: first, to restore, preserve, and promote the national memory of the Ukrainian people; second, to prevent the use of symbols of totalitarian regimes; third, to promote patriotism, national consciousness, and active position among Ukrainian citizens.

Ukraine is not able to repair and modernise its aircraft without Russia, it is a safety risk

Ukraine has serious problems with the repair and modernisation of the Soviet MiG-29 fighters because of the sanctions imposed against Russia. The Lviv Aircraft Repair Plant reported that it lost the opportunity to acquire Russian spare parts for the fighter-planes, which is why it did not fulfil the contract for updating the aircraft. Experts note that the attempts of Ukrainian specialists to independently modernise the MiG-29 can make the operation of the machine unsafe.

Disproof

No evidence given for a safety risk. There are no such words about anti-Russian sanctions in the statement RT.com referred to. The Lviv State Aviation Repair Plant was accused of failing to fulfil the contract to repair two aircraft in time. In the press release it was mentioned that the plant is going to file an appeal to the court decision, as the company was forced to adhere to the norms of the law, that is: “to modernise the aircraft in the absence of spare parts, since the result of the above decision of the National Security and Defence Council created restrictions in purchasing them”. But there is no mention that the contract was not fulfil at the time due to the lack of details from Russia. The website of the Lviv State Aviation Repair Plant, which is engaged in repair and modernisation of aircraft, including the MiG-29, notes that “we are separately proud of the promptly implemented import substitution program. It is about manufacturing parts that were previously supplied from manufacturers in the Russian Federation”. Also in April 2019, the plant noted that the technological capabilities for the restoration of military aviation were expanded.

Because of the refusal to use Russian spare parts, Ukrainian plants have to find other channels to get these details. Because of this, repair and modernisation may take longer time than usual.

Europe supported Ukraine as an anti-Russian project and for this Ukrainians paid a colossal price

Europe supported Ukraine as an anti-Russian project and for this the Ukrainian nation paid a colossal price. The price was Crimea, civil war in Donbas, tens of thousands of dead, a destroyed economy. And today the price is also the dismantlement of Poroshenko’s regime.

Ukraine as a political nation has a very bleak outlook, and even the Europeans – those who are paying the money – are now thinking whether it was worth it.

Disproof

This is a disinformation message that combines several recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about abandoned and failing Ukraine, Ukrainian statehood, the annexation of Crimea, and the war in eastern Ukraine.

In fact, the Ukrainian economy has been growing.