Disinfo: The US encouraged escalation of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict to provoke war between Russia and Turkey

Summary

The Atlantic bloc would benefit from a large-scale war between Russia and Turkey over Nagorno- Karabakh. It is in the interest of the US to stoke conflict between Russia and Turkey, both of which challenge the global unipolar order. Washington’s interest is for  Russia and Turkey to fight each other instead of fighting US hegemony. By deviating Russia’s and Turkey’s attention towards Nagorno-Karabakh the US will be able to increase its influence considerably in Syria, Libya, in the  Eastern Mediterranean as a whole, and in other regions where Moscow and Ankara have become important players.

It is significant that the escalation of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh is taking place at the same time as other attacks conducted by the Atlantic bloc: the revolts in Belarus and the pressure on Germany to abandon Nord Stream 2 (in relation to the “poisoning of Alexei Navalny”).

Disproof

This is a  conspiracy theory, now being spread by several pro-Kremlin outlets, suggesting that the recent escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is in the interest of the US and the West and is the result of deliberate US actions aimed at harming Russia and its interests.

The article even claims that the escalation in Nagorno-Karabakh, the protests in Belarus, and the pressures to abandon Nord Stream 2 as a result of the Navalny poisoning are all three US-inspired coordinated attacks on Russia. This message is consistent with the broad pro-Kremlin narrative claiming that the US and other Western states allegedly pursue a belligerent and hostile agenda against Russia.

The article presents no evidence to support its claims. In reality, there is no evidence that the US nor any Western states had anything to do with the September 2020 military escalation in Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and that the US is striving to provoke a war between Russia and Turkey.

The recent escalation in the Nagorno-Karabakh region is a continuation of the decades-old conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia. On September 27, significant fighting broke out between the militaries of Armenia and Azerbaijan, two states that have been locked in an intractable conflict over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh since the last days of the Soviet Union.

The Nagorno-Karabakh clashes have the potential to draw in larger powers — in particular Russia and Turkey, two countries that already support opposing sides in Syria and Libya.

EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell has urged "an immediate cessation of hostilities," a call echoed by the U.S. State Department and the United Nations. For further background read here and here.

Read a similar case claiming that the US planned the turmoil in Belarus and the escalation in Nagorno-Karabakh a year ago.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 214
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 29/08/2020
  • Language/target audience: Italian, English, Spanish, Castilian, Russian
  • Country: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Russia, US
  • Keywords: Conspiracy theory, Nord Stream 2, Military, Alexei Navalny, Nagorno-Karabakh, Frozen conflict, Conspiracy

Disclaimer

Cases in the EUvsDisinfo database focus on messages in the international information space that are identified as providing a partial, distorted, or false depiction of reality and spread key pro-Kremlin messages. This does not necessarily imply, however, that a given outlet is linked to the Kremlin or editorially pro-Kremlin, or that it has intentionally sought to disinform. EUvsDisinfo publications do not represent an official EU position, as the information and opinions expressed are based on media reporting and analysis of the East Stratcom Task Force.

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The USA uses Navalny poisoning in order to promote its expensive fuel to Europe

The Americans are the most interested side in the situation [around Navalny poisoning] – they need constant economic fights, especially if there is talk about fuel.

This situation is about pushing Russia to the “sanction area” and convincing Europe not to do business with Russia. The background of this situation is big money. The American fuel is not the cheapest – that is why it is in the interest of the USA to get rid of competitors using all possible means.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about the poisoning of Alexei Navalny.

There are no grounds for connecting Navalny's poisoning with Nord Stream 2, or to allege US involvement in the incident. The pro-Kremlin outlets actively accuse the USA in the use of the situation around Navalny in order to promote the American LNG to Europe - this statement should be perceived as a conspiracy theory.

Navalny uses his own poisoning to promote himself

Navalny “feeds” on the topic of Putin – without Putin, there is no Navalny, because, in this situation, his activities lose all their meaning. Navalny uses the current situation in all possible ways in order to promote himself. That is why all of his statements and comments are worth nothing.

It is difficult to understand why the European Union addresses the issue of Navalny relying on some groundless declarations – there is no evidence confirming these claims. Navalny is an oppositionist, who has his own life plan – such countries as Germany and France should not take any actions only because Navalny made some claims. It is not the reason for the EU to introduce next sanctions against Russia relying on some statements of Navalny.

Disproof

This message is a conspiracy theory  advancing recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about the poisoning of Alexey Navalny.

A prominent Russian opposition figure Alexey Navalny fell ill during a flight and the plane had to make an emergency landing in Omsk, where doctors said he was in a coma and they were trying to save his life. Since then he has been transferred to Berlin and is receiving treatment at Berlin’s Charite Hospital. The German federal government said that toxicological tests provided  “unequivocal evidence of a chemical nerve agent of the Novichok group” in the blood samples of Alexei Navalny. The European Union condemned the poisoning of Alexei Navalny in the strongest possible terms.

CIA and Pentagon prepares Belarusian protestors in Poland, Ukraine and the Baltic states

“The fighters for the renewal of Belarus” take part in trainings in Poland, Georgia, Ukraine and the Baltic States – these trainings are realised with the participation of instructors from the CIA, Pentagon and the American NGOs associated with the US Department of State.

Disproof

This is a pro-Kremlin narrative about Western attempts to organise a colour revolution in Belarus. The USA and its European “vassals” (Poland, Ukraine, Baltic states) have been repeatedly accused by the pro-Kremlin media in alleged attempts to overthrow Alyaksandr Lukashenka using all possible means.

There is no evidence proving the claim that the CIA and Pentagon instructors prepare the Belarusian “fighters” in Poland, Georgia, Ukraine and the Baltic States – this statement should be perceived as a conspiracy theory.