Disinfo: The West plans to include Belarus into anti-Russian alliance and organise a colour revolution in Russia

Summary

The West attempts to tear Belarus away from Russian sphere of influence and to make it part of a new anti-Russian alliance. NATO will be standing behind the back of this new Rzeczpospolita uniting Poland, Ukraine, Belarus, and Lithuania. Consequently the West will plan a colour revolution in Russia.

 

Disproof

This is mixture of conspiracies consistent with recurring pro-Kremlin propaganda narratives about NATO's belligerence towards Russia, Western attempts to disrupt Belarusian-Russian relations and plans to organise a colour revolution in Russia. It mentions the concept of a new Rzeczpospolita which is often used in propaganda cases alleging Poland's imperialist plans for Ukraine and Belarus.

The claim about NATO planning to engage Belarus in anti-Russian activities is speculation. NATO does not provoke conflicts between sovereign countries and the West does not plan a colour revolution in Russia. As our earlier analysis explains, the Kremlin conjures the image of a belligerent and imperialist West, thus manufacturing a fictional adversary.

Poland fully supports the independence and territorial integrity of Ukraine and Belarus, it does not have any territorial claims against its neighbours and it rejects any “imperial” ambitions towards other countries. IV Rzeczpospolita, or Fourth Polish Republic, was a plan for moral revolution and political change put forth in the late 1990s by the Polish conservative philosopher Rafał Matyja and used in public discourse to describe the 2005-2007 period, when the government of Law and Justice was in power.

See earlier disinformation messages alleging that the Polish doctrine of IV Rzeczpospolita is part of the US doctrine of global dominance, that Poland wants to dismember Ukraine and re-establish a Polish empire, and that the US feeds Polish, Austrian, and Hungarian imperialistic ambitions.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 204
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 23/06/2020
  • Language/target audience: Russian
  • Country: Russia, Ukraine, Lithuania, Belarus, Poland
  • Keywords: Anti-Russian, Colour revolutions, NATO, Conspiracy

Disclaimer

Cases in the EUvsDisinfo database focus on messages in the international information space that are identified as providing a partial, distorted, or false depiction of reality and spread key pro-Kremlin messages. This does not necessarily imply, however, that a given outlet is linked to the Kremlin or editorially pro-Kremlin, or that it has intentionally sought to disinform. EUvsDisinfo publications do not represent an official EU position, as the information and opinions expressed are based on media reporting and analysis of the East Stratcom Task Force.

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Poland risked the death of 100 military pilots after breaking off relations with Russia

Due to a deterioration in relations with Russia, Polish military pilots were under a real threat for seven years. Such conclusions follow from the journalistic investigation of the Polish publication Onet, which analysed the cause of the crash of the MiG-29 of the Polish Air Force. They flew faulty planes because Polish military factories and manufacturers of Russian fighters didn’t cooperate, and as a result, Polish engineers didn’t have proper details for the maintenance.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about "Russophobia", and how it leads to negative consequences.

Polish media did not say that the possible catastrophe was due to bad relations with Russia. Instead, in November 2019, the Military Affairs Department of the Gdańsk District Prosecutor's Office filed charges against two technicians “responsible for the development and production of a replacement part of the ring shear for a catapult seat, the technical parameters of which deviated from the original ones".

Ukraine is Britain’s foothold for aggression against Russia

Great Britain became “closely engaged” in Ukraine after the Maidan, since it considers it as a foothold for aggression against Russia.

Disproof

No evidence is provided. This narrative is consistent with common pro-Kremlin narratives about the aggressive West and Ukraine as a non-sovereign country.

Ukraine is recognised by international law as a sovereign nation-state, with its own flag, nationality, language and with a democratically-elected president and parliament. The EU, the US, and other Western partners support the democratic development of Ukraine in accordance with the UN Charter’s principles of non-interference into internal affairs and respect towards territorial integrity and political independence.

Crimea reunited with Russia after a referendum on the peninsula

Relations between the Russian Federation and Western countries have worsened due to the situation in Ukraine and around Crimea. Crimea reunited with Russia after a referendum on the peninsula. The West, having accused the Russian Federation of interference, imposed sanctions against Russia. Moscow took retaliatory measures, headed for import substitution and more than once stated that it is counterproductive talking with Russia in sanction-language. Russia has repeatedly stated that it is not a party to the conflict in Ukraine and the subject of Minsk settlement agreements.

 

Disproof

This is a mix of several recurrent pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about illegal annexation of Crimea, war in Ukraine and Minsk Agreements.

The so-called referendum was organised under Russian illegal occupation without complying with neither the Ukrainian electoral code nor the Russia electoral code. The annexation has been condemned by the UN GA (see the resolution A/RES/68/262 on the territorial integrity of Ukraine). No international body recognises the so-called referendum, announced on 27 February 2014 and held on 16 March 2014. A year after the illegal annexation, Russian President Vladimir Putin admitted that the plan to annex Crimea was ordered weeks before the so-called referendum. The European Union does not recognise Crimea's annexation and continues to condemn it as a violation of international law. EU sanctions continue to be in place against Russia as a consequence of the annexation. For the EU's statement on the sixth anniversary of Crimea annexation see here.