Disinfo: An assassination attempt ordered by the Kremlin is the most improbable scenario for what happened to Navalny

Summary

Alexei Navalny is well known in western Europe, far less in Russia. In Russia he is known in Moscow and Saint-Petersburg as a blogger and whistleblower who denounced corruption. But he is not a politician. If he was in any way an inconvenience for the Kremlin he couldn’t do what he does for a long time, it is obvious!

The corruption he denounces is true. But all the Russians knows that, it is not a secret for anyone.

But many people wonder if he was poisoned, why it didn’t work? and most of all why he would have been killed precisely now and not before? Navalny is irritating for the Russian elites, but he is a threat to nobody. He is insignificant.

The death of Navalny is a catastrophic scenario for the Kremlin, it is the worse thing that could happen. Exactly like Boris Nemstov. The interests of the Kremlin was to keep Nemtsov alive, if he dies, people accuse the Kremlin.

Instead people should wonder who benefits from the crime? Cui bono? Either Navalny’s sponsors are tired that he cannot achieve anything and wanted to get rid of him. Either it was organised to increase his popularity, and as a matter of fact he became more famous after this event.

There are a lot of scenarios. But the scenario, the Kremlin wanted to assassinate him but missed seems to me the most improbable. It doesn’t make sense. Moreover, this Novichok has no more effect on Navaly than on the Skripals.

And why did this happen precisely when the Nord Stream 2 project is about to be finalized? And why is there such a media frenzy to point to the Kremlin?

Disproof

This message is recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation about the poisoning of Alexey Navalny.

The TV program interviews an expert who is asked to comment on the EU sanctions published on October 15.

This is part of recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative on the poisoning of Alexei Navalny, portraying Western governments and institutions as inherently Russophobic and trying to harm and encircle Russia.

The narratives used here have been debunked by EUvsDisinfo:

See related disinformation cases alleging that the West will falsely accuse Russia of poisoning Navalny as with Skripal and Litvinenko; the West has an interest in the death of Navalny to launch a new wave of sanctions against Russia; political scandal in Austria was a CIA operation to stop the construction of Nord Stream 2.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 216
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 15/10/2020
  • Outlet language(s) French, Russian
  • Countries and/or Regions discussed in the disinformation: EU, Russia
  • Keywords: novichok, Anna Politkovskaya, Sergei Skripal, Anti-Russian, Alexei Navalny, Boris Nemtsov
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Ukraine has always been Russian, at least a half of it. A large number of so-called Russian Ukrainians live in Ukraine – people who have Russian roots, consider themselves Russian and speak Russian. “Russian Ukrainians” make up, if not the majority, then half of the country’s population.

Disproof

According to a poll conducted in 2017 the number of Ukrainian citizens who consider themselves Ukrainians by nationality is 90.6% of the population, Russian - 6.3%. A recent poll, refererad to in the media states:

For comparison, it is worth citing data on the ethnic composition of the population of Ukraine according to the censuses of 1989 and 2001: Ukrainians - 72.7% and 77.8%, respectively, Russians -22.1 and 17.3%, others - 5.2 % and 4.9%.

If we look at history we can also find many examples showing that Kyiv existed before Moscow, and Ukraine before Russia. Kievan Rus was in existence and history books long before Russia, and hundreds of years before Moscow, and as this scholarly debunk points out, there were even clear linguistic differences as early as the 14th century.

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Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin conspiracy theory and disinformation narrative, without any evidence to support the claim. The narrative alleges that Ukraine is under external control. You can find several disinformation cases on Ukraine being under foreign control in our database. Equally, no evidence is presented of Zelenskyy being blackmailed. Ukraine is a sovereign and independent state with a democratically-elected president and parliament. Ukraine is not controlled by any foreign government or organisation: not the USA, IMF, NATO, the West or George Soros. Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity are respected by almost the whole world, including the EU.

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Ukraine has become the largest buyer of agricultural products produced in Crimea. This is evidenced by the data of the Ministry of Agriculture of Crimea. This year, products manufactured in Crimea were exported to 12 countries of the world, but 61% of the total volume was imported by Ukraine. It is worth more than 8 million US dollars since the beginning of 2020.

Disproof

Pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about Crimea. There is no evidence that Ukraine is importing agricultural products from the occupied Crimea. According to the resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine from 16.12.2015 № 1035 “On the restriction of supplies of certain goods (works, services) from the temporarily occupied territory to another territory of Ukraine and/or from another territory of Ukraine to the temporarily occupied territory”, it is prohibited to supply goods under all customs regimes from the temporarily occupied territory to another territory of Ukraine during the period of temporary occupation.