Trump’s policy towards Poland is supposed to satisfy the American “deep state”

Summary

Donald Trump has to shape his policies taking into consideration the position of various domestic power groups, which disfavour him. If Trump was free of their influence, the current international situation would look completely different. Without his own strong political camp, in some situations, Trump is forced to “give a smile” to the so-called “deep state”, which forms the core of American politics. Trump’s policy towards Poland is one of the elements, which is supposed to satisfy the “deep state”.

Disproof

This message presents a classical conspiracy theory that the “deep state” and “shadow government” control the work of democratic institutions in the United States. Here are some other examples of this narrative: “Deep state” fighting with Trump; FBI appears under the influence of “Deep state”; “Deep state” shaping NATO policies. No reputable political scientists and researchers confirm the existence of a “deep state” in the United States.

The idea of a "deep state" has always been very popular among conspiracy theorists. Its manifestations might be different, but generally the concept conjures up the image of a small group deciding the fate of the world behind the scenes. However, there is no evidence of such a "permanent bureaucracy" or "permanent government" existing in the United States.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 172
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 07/11/2019
  • Language/target audience: Polish
  • Country: Poland, United States
  • Keywords: Deep state, US presence in Europe, Donald Trump, Conspiracy
  • Outlet: Sputnik Polska
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The US decided to change global security system by blaming collapse of the INF treaty on Russia

The United States decided to reformat the global security system in their favour. What is important here is the US withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (the INF Treaty). This decision was first mentioned by President Trump in October 2018. What is absolutely not surprising is that they had found “weighty” arguments to justify this decision. Allegedly, back in 2008, Russia developed a missile that can cover a distance of over 500 km. Moscow’s arguments that the “suspicious” missile 9M729 has a much smaller flight range have been simply ignored by Washington.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narrative about the INF Treaty.

Russia bears primary responsibility for the end of the INF Treaty because it has produced, tested and deployed the 9M729 missile, which violates the agreement. In July 2014, the then-US President Obama officially accused Russia of testing a missile in violation of the INF Treaty, which prohibits the US or Russia from possessing, producing or test-flying ground-launched ballistic and cruise missiles with a range of between 500 and 5500 kilometres.

Western countries imagine malicious Russian actions, like Novichok, because they do not have many things to do

The current world follows the principle “Russians are everywhere.” However, in reality, the Russians have a lot of things to do domestically given the large size of the country. Small Western countries do not have much to do, so they imagine things. They imagine Novichok, election meddling and even recruitment of the American president. If Donald Trump was the Kremlin’s agent, he would use a malicious virus to destroy the system to manage the US’s nuclear capability to make the US surrender within half an hour.

Disproof

This is an example of the recurring pro-Kremlin propaganda narrative about ubiquitous Russophobia in the Western countries, which denies Russia's meddling in foreign elections and its involvement in the poisoning of the Skripals despite strong evidence of both. For background, read our analysis: The “Russophobia” Myth: Appealing to the Lowest Feelings.

See earlier disinformation cases alleging that there is no evidence of Russian attempts to influence the 2019 EU elections, that no evidence exists of Russia’s guilt in the Skripals' poisoning, and that the Intelligence Committee’s report found no evidence of Russian intervention in the US elections.

EUMM encourages Georgia’s provocative and destructive activities near South Ossetian border

As the threat of armed clashes near the Georgian-South Ossetia border in increasing, the position of the EU international observers is particularly perplexing.They not only fail to control the actions of Tbilisi’s military forces, they practically condone their provocative and destructive activities aimed at further escalation of tensions.

Disproof

This is an organised disinformation campaign targeting the EU's Monitoring Mission (EUMM) in Georgia. See the EEAS statement which assesses the statements from South Ossetia about security actions and developments as "factually incorrect". It further states:

"The attempts from within South Ossetia, both in action and through statements, to prevent the Mission’s work and restrict its mandate are deplorable and must stop."

In addition, the EUMM has not confirmed any shots from the Georgian side.

The EUMM was deployed immediately following the war between Russia and Georgia in 2008. Its mandate is to support the restoration of ordinary life, to prevent a return to hostilities, to build confidence among the conflict parties and to inform about EU policy. The European Union remains fully committed to peaceful conflict resolution in Georgia and reiterates its firm support to the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Georgia within its internationally recognised borders.