Ukraine will disintegrate and fall prey to territorial claims of EU member states

Summary

Russia is not going to threaten the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the former territories of the Soviet Union.

No one can exclude the possibility that Ukraine will start disintegrating itself, as the regional elites no longer need Kyiv.

Poles, Hungarians, and Romanians have their eye on the Ukrainian territories, which historically were part of Poland, Hungary, and Romania. As the situation deteriorates in Ukraine, protection of national minorities will become in issue. Furthermore Nazi structures, prominent in Ukraine, may push the government to attack Donbas.

 

 

Disproof

Conspiracy theory perpetuating several recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about disintegration of Ukraine, war in East Ukraine, as well as Nazism and Russophobia. 

Russia is, in fact, violating territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine with continuous acts of aggression by the Russian armed forces, ongoing since February 2014.

Poland, Hungary, and Romania adhere to international law regarding state borders and have no territorial claims upon Ukraine.

See earlier disinformation cases alleging that Neo-Nazis have an outsized influence in Ukrainian politics, that Poles are stoking nationalist sentiment in Ukraine in order to annex Lviv, that Kharkiv, Odesa, Mykolaiv, Zaporizhzhia are willing to be part of Russia, and that real Ukrainian patriots fought for DPR/LPR.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 170
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 23/10/2019
  • Language/target audience: Russian
  • Country: Russia, Poland, Hungary, Romania, Ukraine
  • Keywords: Ukrainian disintegration, War in Ukraine, Donbas, Conspiracy, Ukrainian statehood, Nazi/Fascist
  • Outlet: Sputnik Belarus
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All NATO infrastructure is aimed at enhancing the capability for attacking Russia and Belarus

NATO military drills are a demonstration that neither Russia nor Belarus will never be friendly countries for either Vilnius or Washington. Even Lithuania will hardly be so for the U.S., it will rather be cannon fodder for American imperialism. The only viable option for Belarus and Russia is to build a common defensive alliance. It is no coincidence that lately Nasha Niva, TUT.by and other Belarusian media outlets demonstrate weakened Belarus-Russia cooperation. Generally, the whole NATO infrastructure is intended to enhance the capability of attacking Russia and Belarus. It does not necessarily mean that such assault will happen today or tomorrow, but NATO’s better readiness for aggression is there.

Disproof

This is a mix of conspiracy theories aimed to discredit the West/US/NATO and independent Belarusian media. It is consistent with recurring propagandist narratives about Western aggressiveness towards Belarus and Russia, West's attempts to disrupt Belarus-Russia relations, the Baltic states' lost sovereignty and their subordination to the US and NATO, and destructive actions of the Belarusian media and opposition guided by the West.

The claim about NATO's plans to wage a war against Russia was addressed on NATO's official website: "Any claims that NATO is preparing an attack on Russia are absurd." A number of recent critical publications about Belarus-Russian relations in the independent Belarusian media stem from recent Belarus-Russia disagreements over the integration development and secrecy around the two countries' negotiations over deepened integration.

NATO is looking for a reason to start military action against Belarus and Russia

The talks about the so called Russian threat are an excuse. Everyone is allegedly worried about Belarus’ domestic policy and its sovereignty as if they really care about Belarus’ problems. In fact, the stationing of U.S. troops in Lithuania means that the U.S. and NATO are looking for a reason to begin military action, and any excuse can be used at the right moment.

Disproof

This is a conspiracy theory which is consistent with recurring pro-Kremlin narrative about Western aggressiveness towards Belarus and Russia.

Claims that NATO is preparing an attack on Russia have no basis and have been repeatedly debunked. 

The EU condemns death penalty in Belarus but does not do so in relation to the US or Japan

Speaking of the death penalty, the European community which bothers Belarus and Russia, should mind its own business. Only absolute idiots can abolish the death penalty. In Russian, a moratorium on death penalty was introduced by Yeltsin in 1996 and it is not clear for how long the population will tolerate this outrage. At the same time, the EU does not make claims against the U.S. or Japan which keep the death penalty.

Disproof

The EU position is unambiguous. The statement that EU remains silent on death penalties in the U.S. or Japan. The EU is equally vocal concerning capital punishment in the U.S., Japan, and elsewhere.

One of the latest examples is the Local EU Statement on the death penalty in the United States and Belarus, which was delivered in September 2019 during the Council of Europe's Meeting of the Committee of Ministers. There is a whole EU-led Action on US Death Row Cases which contains EU letters to US Governors concerning plans to execute individuals.