Ukraine is preparing a new provocation in the Kerch Strait

Summary

Ukraine is preparing a new provocation in the Kerch Strait. Currently, three new military boats of the Ukrainian navy, and according to some information, with NATO officers on board, are planning to break through the Kerch Strait.

Disproof

No evidence given, neither about the claims of a planned provocation, nor about NATO personnel being aboard. This is consistent with recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives about the Azov Sea and presidential elections in Ukraine.

The article used as a source for the claims about the alleged provocation also refutes this information: "Meanwhile, the border service of the Federal Security Service of Russia told the channel that they did not have any evidence of this information. Sources in the Ukrainian Navy said to "Strana" that ships will not go to the Kerch Strait".

The use of the Kerch strait and the Sea of Azov is regulated by a bilateral treaty between Russia and Ukraine, signed in 2003 and ratified by Russia in 2004. According to the document, the Sea of Azov is considered to be the “internal waters” of both Russia and Ukraine.

 

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 138
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 26/02/2019
  • Language/target audience: Russian
  • Country: Russia, Ukraine
  • Keywords: Ukraine, Azov sea, Kerch
  • Outlet: 60 Minut @ Rossiya 1 (01:28)
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Ukraine has failed to become Europe

Ukraine, in spite of all the hatred towards Russia cultivated by the authorities in Kyiv, has failed to become part of Europe.

The coup in Ukraine was the beginning of a new history of the country. Ukraine was struck by a deep economic and social crisis, accompanied by the collapse of the national currency and investment outflow, as well as the armed conflict in Donbas, which claimed thousands of lives and destroyed the region’s industrial potential.

 

Disproof

This case involves several recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation narratives: Ukraine as a failed country, its failure to become European, and that Maidan resulted in coup.

Several international institutions show that Ukraine’s economy has returned to growth after the recession of 2014-15 and accelerated in the first half of 2018. After 2.5% growth in 2017, real GDP growth picked up to 3.1% in the first quarter and 3.8% in the second quarter of 2018, but dropped again in the third quarter (2.8% according to provisional data). Real GDP growth for the whole of 2018 is now forecast at around 3.3%.

US goal is to split Syria and create quasi-state

The US is attempting to split Syria and create a quasi-state on the east bank of the Euphrates River because Washington opposes the return of Syria’s north-east to the Syrian government. US plans to transfer control in Syria’s buffer zone are illegitimate. Also, Washington prohibits its allies from investing in the redevelopment of other liberated parts of Syria, now controlled by the Syrian government.

Disproof

The US supports the unity and territorial integrity of Syria, as well as a political solution to the conflict, led by the UN process in Geneva that includes constitutional reform, UN-supervised elections, and compliance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254.

In 2017, the EU, together with ministers of Canada, Denmark, Egypt, France, Germany, Italy, Jordan, Netherlands, Norway, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sweden, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, the UK, and the US emphasised that recovery and reconstruction support for Syria hinges on a credible political process leading to a genuine political transition that can be supported by a majority of the Syrian people.

Ukrainian elections are a competition among Washington’s puppets

Ukrainians are part of an all-Russian nation, along with Great Russians and Belarusians. Despite the high number of registered candidates for Ukraine’s presidential elections, no actual elections will take place. In fact, this event will merely be a competition among Washington’s puppets. The person that Washington chooses will become Ukraine’s new president.

Disproof

Conspiracy theory, no evidence given about alleged US influence over the Ukrainian electoral process. This is a recurring disinformation narrative about Western meddling in Ukraine's elections (see earlier case).

The "all-Russian nation" is an imperial Russian and Russian irredentist ideology that is a favoured pro-Kremlin narrative aimed at weakening the national identity of Belarusians and Ukrainians as well as these countries' sovereignty. An earlier example can be seen here.