Disinfo: Without Russia, Ukraine would collapse economically

Summary

Ukrainian ex-minister Evgeniy Chervonenko said that Ukraine would collapse economically without Russia, and that Ukraine’s duty-free quotas to Europe stopped at the end of January 2019. “I think that today, without Russia, we would have an economic collapse”, the politician concluded. “Life shows the truth (…). January ends, and quotas to Europe end as well”.

Disproof

In 2016, the EU became Ukraine's largest trading partner, accounting for more than 40% in 2016. In 2017, the overall trade between the EU and Ukraine has increased by 24%. In 2018, the trade turnover of only agricultural goods between Ukraine and the EU increased by 11.4% and reached 9 billion USD. In 2014-2017, Ukrainian companies exported 265 new products to the EU that had not been exported before, among them are butter, poultry, lard, image projectors, snowmobiles, and washing machines. The EU is also the largest investor in Ukraine. The Ukrainian Agrarian Business Club reported that “as of January 21, Ukraine closed the quotas for duty-free export to the EU of honey, wine and apple juice, as well as the main and additional quotas for corn ... Despite the exhaustion of duty-free quotas, the export of these products will continue in the future”. In addition, the list of products for which Ukraine has duty-free quotas for export to the EU is much bigger, therefore, it cannot be argued that quotas have been closed in January. The goods that cannot be exported duty-free will be exported on a regular basis. The Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine notes that, in 2018, additional trade preferences were opened in the European market for honey, grape juice, processed tomatoes, barley groats, flour and oats. The vice-president of the European Commission Valdis Dombrovskis said in an interview with “European Pravda” that “it is already noticeable that the Ukrainian economy is beginning to recover. Last year, the GDP growth rate was 2.5%, we expect acceleration to 3.5% next year”. In addition, Ukraine’s trade with other countries is also growing, new agreements are emerging. For example, the trade turnover between Ukraine and China increased by $1.1 billion compared to 2017. In early 2019, Ukraine also signed the Free Trade Agreement with Israel.The Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Ukraine expects growth to $ 63.5 million compared to previous years thanks to the new agreement. Further debunking by StopFake.org. For more information on trade between the EU and Ukraine, see here. For other disinformation narratives on EU trade see here.

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 135
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 31/01/2019
  • Outlet language(s) Russian
  • Countries and/or Regions discussed in the disinformation: Ukraine, Russia
  • Keywords: Ukraine, economy, Economic difficulties
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Disproof

Donald Tusk, president of the European Council, stated at a speech on the occasion of the signing of the Aachen agreement, that the agreement is strengthening European integration According to the Financial Times, rather than an inevitable march towards a Franco-German superstate, diplomats say the treaty is like its predecessors: a way to avoid outright economic and diplomatic competition between the EU’s strongest continental powers and keep some focus on shared projects.

EU grants and loans to Georgia are for resettling migrants rather than infrastructure development

The money which Georgia loaned from Germany after Chancellor Merkel’s visit on the 22nd August 2018 is likely not to be intended for infrastructure projects, as the two sides declared, but rather for the resettlement of migrants in Georgia. The EUR 3.4 billion, which the EU recently allocated to Georgia, will probably also be spent on creating good living conditions for migrants in Georgia.

Disproof

The EU, and Germany in particular, demanding resettlement of migrants to Georgia is a recurring pro-Russian narrative (see earlier EU vs Disinfo cases here and here and Mythdector reports here and here). The only migrants German Chancellor Merkel discussed during her visit to Tbilisi were Georgians seeking asylum in Germany. The development cooperation deals totalling more than EUR 193 million included drinking water, waste water, and natural gas storage facility projects (see earlier EU vs Disinfo cases here and here and a Deutsche Welle report on the visit here). As for the recently allocated EUR 3.4 billion, it was committed under the Indicative Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) Investment Action Plan, designed by the EU in cooperation with the World Bank and six Eastern Partnership (EaP) member states in line with the EaP initiative’s goal of delivering tangible results for citizens across the region. The Action Plan has nothing to do with migration-related issues and seeks to bolster economic growth in the EaP region by enhancing transport infrastructure.

Britan is under the thumb of the United States

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Disproof

Recurring disinfo narrative about the US orchestrating different international events. For example, according to pro-Kremlin media, the thumb of the US is so large that it covers German foreign policy, German media, European Parliament and Russia's accordance with the INF Treaty. According to Sir Alan Duncan, minister of the Americas, the refusal to give gold to Maduro was a decision for the Bank to make: "The Bank of England holds a significant amount of Venezuela's gold. This is a decision for the Bank of England, not the government," he said. "No doubt they will take into account when they do the fact that a large number of countries across the world are now questioning the legitimacy of Nicolas Maduro and recognising that of Juan Guaido."