US and NATO see Belarus only as part of an anti-Russia bastion

Summary

Americans are interested in the Belarusian state only insofar as they are interested in Ukraine, as anti-Russian projects. UK’s Chatham House is of similar view, as it wants to bring Alexander Lukashenko down after the period of “soft Belarusification”. Events in Venezuela show that West can actually recognize any Belarusian opposition leader as interim president event before actual coup-d’état.

The West plans to develop its expert and agent community in Belarus, to bring anti-Russian Ukrainian analytical centers and NGOs to Belarus, and to rely on Belarusian civil society in order to disrupt Russia-Belarus relations.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin narrative on western plans to organize colour revolution in Belarus and to disrupt Russia-Belarus ties.

Over the past two years, there has been progress in EU–Belarus relations. Belarus has been participating more pro-actively in the Eastern Partnership, in particular in the multilateral formats, negotiations on a Mobility Partnership were concluded and negotiations on a Visa Facilitation and Readmission Agreements are underway. More about the relations between the EU and Belarus here.

NATO and Belarus have established a relationship based on the pursuit of common interests, while also keeping open channels for dialogue. Key areas of cooperation include civil preparedness and defence reforms. NATO works with Belarus to implement reforms in these areas, while continuing to call on Belarus to increase the pace of its democratic reforms. More about the relations between NATO and Belarus here.
The mentioned Chatham House's report analyses the ways to increase societal resilience in Ukraine, Belarus, and Moldova to threats emanating from Russia, which deploys a set of tools aimed at weakening their sovereignty.

 

 

publication/media

  • Reported in: Issue 136
  • DATE OF PUBLICATION: 06/02/2019
  • Language/target audience: Belarus
  • Country: Venezuela, Ukraine, Belarus
  • Keywords: Anti-Russian, Colour revolutions
  • Outlet: Foundation for Strategic Culture, Together with Russia
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US pushes Belarusian authorities towards talks over split from Russian Orthodox Church

Alyaksandr Lukashenka instructed Belarusian foreign minister Uladzimir Makey to start talks with the Patriarch of Constantinople over a possible split from the Russian Orthodox Church. This is a condition voiced by American diplomats for further progress in Belarus’ relations with the West and IMF. Such a move would be political suicide for Alyaksandr Lukashenka. However, it is supported by a pro-Catholic clan in the Belarus’ ruling elite and by pro-western Foreign Minister, Uladzimir Makey, who is ready to replace Lukashenka.

Disproof

No proof given. Western countries and institutions, including the above mentioned IMF, do not give any preconditions for cooperation with Belarus linked to the status of its Orthodox Church. Recurring pro-Kremlin disinformation on alleged western plans tear away Belarus from Russia.

US missile defence-bases in Romania and Poland are purposefully targeting Russia

It is perfectly obvious that the missile defence bases [in Romania and Poland] are purposefully placed on the Western borders of the Russian Federation and target no country other than Russia.

The defence base in Romania has MK-41-start bases, which can pretty easily be used for the launch of heavy cruise missiles of the Tomahawk-class. These are cruise missiles with a medium range-reach which immediately breach the INF-Treaty from the year 1987.

Disproof

According to the U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa (2016): the Aegis Ashore Missile Defence System is part of the European Phased Adapted Approach, designed to protect European NATO allies, and U.S. deployed forces in the region, against current and emerging ballistic threats from the Middle East. U.S. Naval Forces ruled out the possibility of targeting the Russian Federation with the "Aegis Ashore" system.

The Romanian Defence Minister Teodor Melescanu also reiterated on February 7 2019 that "Aegis Ashore" was a strictly defensive system.

The US has violated the INF Treaty for years

The US has been violating the INF Treaty for years. By violating INF Treaty obligations, the US created the conditions for Russia’s production of missiles prohibited by this Treaty.

The US has never provided evidence to Russia about its compliance with the INF Treaty in the three above-mentioned areas.

Disproof

Recurring pro-Kremlin narrative that the US is responsible for the demise of the INF Treaty.

The US government has issued detailed rebuttals of Russian accusations of US non-compliance with INF Treaty. Moreover, the US has repeatedly engaged Russian officials in multiple venues, including the Treaty’s Special Verification Commission [SVC] to explain why US actions in these areas are in full compliance with the INF Treaty. In December 2017, NATO affirmed that the US is in full compliance with the INF Treaty, and that Russia possesses a new missile system that generated “serious concerns”.